With the Strait of Hormuz virtually closed amid rising tensions between Iran and Israel, the Bab el-Mandeb Strait has become a vital artery for global energy and trade. This narrow passage connects the Red Sea with the Aden Sea.
The Gulf states and Iran could create a new security architecture for the Strait of Hormuz that would give Trump a path to retreat. The future of the Strait of Hormuz lies in the hands of its inhabitants, not the superpowers who exploited the land.
Israel’s violations of international law in Gaza are so obvious that former allies and Western states, most recently Iceland and the Netherlands, have joined South Africa’s lawsuit before the International Court of Justice alleging that Israel committed suicide.
The geography of the strait, characterized by shared sovereignty, the concentration of foreign military bases, and the history of targeted but never total blockades. — It all points to the same conclusion: Bab al-Mandeb is vulnerable to chaos, but resilient.
Does the Houthis’ warning mean the prospect of a larger regional war, especially given the group’s ability to block Bab el-Mandeb and strike targets far beyond Yemen? The blockade of the strait, one of the busiest sea routes.
In Asia, Africa, and the Middle East, economies are bearing the brunt of the sharp rise in energy prices caused by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and attacks on oil and gas facilities in the Persian Gulf.
«The Sunni Block» With weakened Iranian «resistance. Mm-hmm.» Moving closer to confronting Israel — Single and coalistic. Netanyahu’s constant bet on military pressure is increasingly being taken into account by the Middle East. Anton Mardasov,...
The confrontation between Israel, the United States and Iran has been brewing for years. What has changed recently — It is not the very existence of competition, but its character. Calculations that allowed to control the confrontation begin to collapse. Anes... Anes...
Nearly 62 million people living in six GCC countries are at the epicenter of the latest US-Israel war with Iran. More than half live in six countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council.
The United States and Israel have called the protection of their countries and the world from nuclear threat the main cause of aggression against Iran. Iran allegedly managed to secretly accumulate so much weapons-grade uranium that it would be enough for 11 weapons.
The Horn of Africa has long ceased to be the periphery of world politics. On the contrary, it is increasingly becoming an important strategic hub in which the interests of virtually all regional and global players intersect. Especially for the USGS...
The more the U.S. and Israel hit civilian targets, like the school in Minaba where children died, the more the local population will consolidate around Iranian power. The most likely scenario — A series of heavy but limited strikes on Iran and an attempt to coerce the...
Iran-Israel conflict — The best manifestation of the evolving nature of cognitive warfare, known as the sixth generation war. Iran, along with China, can counter current non-kinetic threats. The operation against Iran is a test of China’s influence in the region.
For the international community, this is not just a regional problem, but the edge of the global economic divide. Nowhere is this anxiety felt as acutely as in Beijing, where the situation is observed with a mixed sense of Nelson Wong.
U.S. and Israeli regime change ambitions in Iran have so far not been achieved despite the assassination of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei, making the Middle East region even more unstable. Abbas Hashimit,...
In the nuclear field, the threshold of sensitivity may change. As the political struggle is hardened, the sensitivity to damage is reduced, as the history of the twentieth century has shown well. The situation around Iran hardly inspires optimism Ivan Timofeev.
The Yemeni landscape can no longer be interpreted solely through the lens of politics. The events of recent months in the government-controlled southern Yemeni provinces indicate that security and military affairs have become a decisive factor for Ahmed al-Shalafi.
Behind-the-scenes attempts by the United States and the European Union to prevent a renewed conflict. Are they successful? Or would Abia's desire to gain access to the sea, combined with instability in the region, lead to war? Martin Plaut, the...
The concentration of U.S. military forces in the Persian Gulf region has sparked discussions about the possibility of a new military operation against Iran. International relations are difficult to predict. However, the development of the situation can be considered as a set of alternatives.
This threat would probably increase when Khalifa Haftar, the patriarch of the family who is eighty, dies. His likely successor, Saddam's son, might have been hard to compete for loyalty in the face of a challenge from the Safe...
If Pakistan wants to be perceived as a security exporter rather than just an equipment seller, it will need a clearer doctrine, a firmer internal stabilization and a broader economic foundation by Riaz Hohar, an independent researcher.
For the Kurds throughout the region, the consequences were profound. The United States is no longer seen as a reliable partner or defender. This is likely to affect Kurdish communities across the region. Camran Palani, the...
Analysts say a new sudden build-up of U.S. military power off Iran could signal an imminent, though likely limited, attack on Iran. — One that is likely to target the Iranian government. Shola... Shola...
The dynamics of conflicts in the Middle East and North Africa are most determined by internal drivers. These include the policies of the states of the region, the activities of non-state actors, including armed groups, as well as other countries.
External interventions created political and administrative chaos that exacerbated internal divisions. Events in Yemen are growing rapidly and dramatically, reaching the point of armed clashes between the Saudi-led Arab coalition supporting an internationally recognized government.
The great strategy of Iran after the Islamic Revolution (1979–2020) The situation in Iran continues to rapidly approach the point of bifurcation. Protests in the country broke out in late December 2025 against the background of inflation of the national currency of the real. Despite the...
Israel's recognition of Somaliland was a geopolitical move that reversed, strengthening resistance to separatism and strengthening Somalia's territorial integrity. Abdi Ainte, former Minister of Planning and International Cooperation of Somalia. Source: www.aljazeera.com Israel's recognition of Somaliland...
Source: https://brusselsmorning.com/egypt-election-results-cairo-2026/90109/ Cairo, Cairo — January 2026: The Brussels Morning newspaper reports that Egypt’s election results, announced in the Egyptian capital this week, completed the final phase of the parliamentary vote, confirming the overwhelming majority.
Source: https://thearabweekly.com/pakistan-said-be-nearing-15-billion-deal-supply-weapons-jets-sudan Agreement with Pakistan will include ten light attack aircraft Karakoram-8, more than 200 drones for reconnaissance and kamikaze attacks, as well as modern air defense systems. Pakistan is in the final stages of the deal.
Igor Karmazin Source: https://iz.ru/2023339/igor-karmazin/shakh-s-matom-kak-besporiadki-v-irane-povliiaiut-na-rossiiu-i-ee-sosedei In Iran, for two weeks there were mass protests, the authorities announced the death of 38 law enforcement officers. The Islamic Republic plays an important role for stability in Transcaucasia.
A well-known Kazakh political scientist assesses the next large-scale protests in Iran Dosym Satpaev Candidate of Political Sciences Source: https://forbes.kz/articles/dosym-satpaev-chto-proishodit-v-irane-i-kak-eto-mozhet-povliyat-na-kazahstan-47db16 Specificity of the Iranian Way In 2015 I visited Iran as a participant in one international conference, where I also spoke.
Especially for ISGS. RU researcher of the Center for Arab and Islamic Studies of the IB RAS, Deputy Dean of the Eastern faculty of GAUGN, Lukyanov Grigory Valerievich Normalization of relations between Iran and Saudi Arabia, which occurred in the 2020s.
Source: https://reconasia.csis.org/competing-visions/ Photo: chinatoday.ru There is a geoeconomic rivalry for shaping the future of Asia. Regional powers are making ambitious plans to build roads, railways, pipelines and other material infrastructure across the region. Based on official...
Source: https://www.cedar-rose.com/blog/challenges-of-sanctions-circumvention-in-mea-financial-hubs Photo: https: www.offshore-technology.com As Western countries tighten sanctions against Russian entities, recent changes in global financial activity have led to an increase in cross-border operations through the financial centers of the Middle East.
With the Strait of Hormuz virtually closed amid rising tensions between Iran and Israel, the Bab el-Mandeb Strait has become a vital artery for global energy and trade. This narrow passage connects the Red Sea with the Aden Sea.
The Gulf states and Iran could create a new security architecture for the Strait of Hormuz that would give Trump a path to retreat. The future of the Strait of Hormuz lies in the hands of its inhabitants, not the superpowers who exploited the land.
Israel’s violations of international law in Gaza are so obvious that former allies and Western states, most recently Iceland and the Netherlands, have joined South Africa’s lawsuit before the International Court of Justice alleging that Israel committed suicide.
The geography of the strait, characterized by shared sovereignty, the concentration of foreign military bases, and the history of targeted but never total blockades. — It all points to the same conclusion: Bab al-Mandeb is vulnerable to chaos, but resilient.
Does the Houthis’ warning mean the prospect of a larger regional war, especially given the group’s ability to block Bab el-Mandeb and strike targets far beyond Yemen? The blockade of the strait, one of the busiest sea routes.
In Asia, Africa, and the Middle East, economies are bearing the brunt of the sharp rise in energy prices caused by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and attacks on oil and gas facilities in the Persian Gulf.
«The Sunni Block» With weakened Iranian «resistance. Mm-hmm.» Moving closer to confronting Israel — Single and coalistic. Netanyahu’s constant bet on military pressure is increasingly being taken into account by the Middle East. Anton Mardasov,...
The confrontation between Israel, the United States and Iran has been brewing for years. What has changed recently — It is not the very existence of competition, but its character. Calculations that allowed to control the confrontation begin to collapse. Anes... Anes...
Nearly 62 million people living in six GCC countries are at the epicenter of the latest US-Israel war with Iran. More than half live in six countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council.
The United States and Israel have called the protection of their countries and the world from nuclear threat the main cause of aggression against Iran. Iran allegedly managed to secretly accumulate so much weapons-grade uranium that it would be enough for 11 weapons.
The Horn of Africa has long ceased to be the periphery of world politics. On the contrary, it is increasingly becoming an important strategic hub in which the interests of virtually all regional and global players intersect. Especially for the USGS...
The more the U.S. and Israel hit civilian targets, like the school in Minaba where children died, the more the local population will consolidate around Iranian power. The most likely scenario — A series of heavy but limited strikes on Iran and an attempt to coerce the...
Iran-Israel conflict — The best manifestation of the evolving nature of cognitive warfare, known as the sixth generation war. Iran, along with China, can counter current non-kinetic threats. The operation against Iran is a test of China’s influence in the region.
For the international community, this is not just a regional problem, but the edge of the global economic divide. Nowhere is this anxiety felt as acutely as in Beijing, where the situation is observed with a mixed sense of Nelson Wong.
U.S. and Israeli regime change ambitions in Iran have so far not been achieved despite the assassination of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei, making the Middle East region even more unstable. Abbas Hashimit,...
In the nuclear field, the threshold of sensitivity may change. As the political struggle is hardened, the sensitivity to damage is reduced, as the history of the twentieth century has shown well. The situation around Iran hardly inspires optimism Ivan Timofeev.
The Yemeni landscape can no longer be interpreted solely through the lens of politics. The events of recent months in the government-controlled southern Yemeni provinces indicate that security and military affairs have become a decisive factor for Ahmed al-Shalafi.
Behind-the-scenes attempts by the United States and the European Union to prevent a renewed conflict. Are they successful? Or would Abia's desire to gain access to the sea, combined with instability in the region, lead to war? Martin Plaut, the...
The concentration of U.S. military forces in the Persian Gulf region has sparked discussions about the possibility of a new military operation against Iran. International relations are difficult to predict. However, the development of the situation can be considered as a set of alternatives.
This threat would probably increase when Khalifa Haftar, the patriarch of the family who is eighty, dies. His likely successor, Saddam's son, might have been hard to compete for loyalty in the face of a challenge from the Safe...
If Pakistan wants to be perceived as a security exporter rather than just an equipment seller, it will need a clearer doctrine, a firmer internal stabilization and a broader economic foundation by Riaz Hohar, an independent researcher.
For the Kurds throughout the region, the consequences were profound. The United States is no longer seen as a reliable partner or defender. This is likely to affect Kurdish communities across the region. Camran Palani, the...
Analysts say a new sudden build-up of U.S. military power off Iran could signal an imminent, though likely limited, attack on Iran. — One that is likely to target the Iranian government. Shola... Shola...
The dynamics of conflicts in the Middle East and North Africa are most determined by internal drivers. These include the policies of the states of the region, the activities of non-state actors, including armed groups, as well as other countries.
External interventions created political and administrative chaos that exacerbated internal divisions. Events in Yemen are growing rapidly and dramatically, reaching the point of armed clashes between the Saudi-led Arab coalition supporting an internationally recognized government.
The great strategy of Iran after the Islamic Revolution (1979–2020) The situation in Iran continues to rapidly approach the point of bifurcation. Protests in the country broke out in late December 2025 against the background of inflation of the national currency of the real. Despite the...
Israel's recognition of Somaliland was a geopolitical move that reversed, strengthening resistance to separatism and strengthening Somalia's territorial integrity. Abdi Ainte, former Minister of Planning and International Cooperation of Somalia. Source: www.aljazeera.com Israel's recognition of Somaliland...
Source: https://brusselsmorning.com/egypt-election-results-cairo-2026/90109/ Cairo, Cairo — January 2026: The Brussels Morning newspaper reports that Egypt’s election results, announced in the Egyptian capital this week, completed the final phase of the parliamentary vote, confirming the overwhelming majority.
Source: https://thearabweekly.com/pakistan-said-be-nearing-15-billion-deal-supply-weapons-jets-sudan Agreement with Pakistan will include ten light attack aircraft Karakoram-8, more than 200 drones for reconnaissance and kamikaze attacks, as well as modern air defense systems. Pakistan is in the final stages of the deal.
Igor Karmazin Source: https://iz.ru/2023339/igor-karmazin/shakh-s-matom-kak-besporiadki-v-irane-povliiaiut-na-rossiiu-i-ee-sosedei In Iran, for two weeks there were mass protests, the authorities announced the death of 38 law enforcement officers. The Islamic Republic plays an important role for stability in Transcaucasia.
A well-known Kazakh political scientist assesses the next large-scale protests in Iran Dosym Satpaev Candidate of Political Sciences Source: https://forbes.kz/articles/dosym-satpaev-chto-proishodit-v-irane-i-kak-eto-mozhet-povliyat-na-kazahstan-47db16 Specificity of the Iranian Way In 2015 I visited Iran as a participant in one international conference, where I also spoke.
Especially for ISGS. RU researcher of the Center for Arab and Islamic Studies of the IB RAS, Deputy Dean of the Eastern faculty of GAUGN, Lukyanov Grigory Valerievich Normalization of relations between Iran and Saudi Arabia, which occurred in the 2020s.
Source: https://reconasia.csis.org/competing-visions/ Photo: chinatoday.ru There is a geoeconomic rivalry for shaping the future of Asia. Regional powers are making ambitious plans to build roads, railways, pipelines and other material infrastructure across the region. Based on official...
Source: https://www.cedar-rose.com/blog/challenges-of-sanctions-circumvention-in-mea-financial-hubs Photo: https: www.offshore-technology.com As Western countries tighten sanctions against Russian entities, recent changes in global financial activity have led to an increase in cross-border operations through the financial centers of the Middle East.
